The Weather in Auckland

We would not be ex British if we did not go on about the weather and New Zealanders are just as bad. So a brief overview of Auckland's weather so far. We are supposed to have twice the rainfall of London. The rain here does not mess around, you do not get drizzly days,(well normally you don't, but because of La Nina this year 2011, we have) it pours then the sun usually comes out.The rain is at least very clean, no pollution, its a long way from Australia! Auckland is 36 degrees south compared to London at 52 North, thus the strong sun compounded by the weak ozone layer over Aus. and ourselves, plus low pollution, plus the earths wobble. The temperatures are kept from extremes by all the sea around us. The weather usually comes from the west bringing anti-cyclones (high Pressure, we are in the southern hemisphere) every 7 to 10 days with depressions every so often breaking up the party in the summer, in winter we of course get more “lows”. Also for what the sea is up to Swellmap, Tide Tables and Marine Forecast for the Hauraki Gulf. See also Auckland Climate and New Zealand Climate

Remember, Auckland has its own micro climates, with 30% less rain in the east, The stats. are taken at the airport, west Auckland

Look at the “Auckland Met Service” below and you can now get historical data, also you can compare different locations

Miranda weather Miranda weather

http://www.metservice.com/national/home

Suns Angle comparing London to Auckland

Suns Angle

Winter 2013

Sept 12 2013: I have been out of the country, so not a lot to report. South Island got clobbered with high winds on Sept. 10. Typical spring up here.

Aug 13 2013: Its been a good winter so far, mild weather and not too much rain, even the local farmers are happy. I have been out this morning planting cabbage trees and others, working in sun hat, sun glasses and shirt sleeves, nice!

June 27 2013: NZ had its largest storm in 45 years last week. Wellington had 130 km/hr winds, South island had huge dumps of snow. Here in Miranda we had some heavy rain, and winds up to 60k, nothing really. Quote “ a motorist in Wellington reported being overtaken by a wheelie bin”

June 10 2013: Auckland had its wettest May on record, no severe floods or anything, just wet. Nature is compensating for the dry summer! June seems to be a normal winter month.

Autumn 2013

April 22 2013: The drought lasted 'til April 16. Since then we have had over 100mm of rain. The grass is growing and life for the farmers is getting back to normal. Mount Maunganui and Nelson have had floods.

March 15 2013: All of North Island declared in a drought, even Westland in South island now suffering.

March 5 2013:Feb. was the second driest month on record for Auckland: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10869133

Summer 2013

Feb 20 2013: We have had 21mm of rain so far this year in Miranda and nothing really forecast. The fields are brown, the sky blue, happy tourists and farmers praying or doing rain dances.

Jan 23:I have said before that summer really does not start 'til January and this year was no exception. We had the tail end of a tropical storm just after Xmas and that gave us a good wetting, its now the end of Jan. and everywhere is dry and brown, with no real rain forecast 'til autumn. We shall be feeding the alpacas with hay, 'til then if proper rain does not come. The holiday makers are happy though.

Niwa review of 2012

Spring 2012

Spring in Miranda was a little cooler and slightly wetter,the grass took a while to get going. Spring is always windy in NZ and this one had a gust of 90 kph on our ridge top, we seem to have lost a few plants that were in the firing line. Summer is forecast to be hot and dry.

Winter 2012

Sept 25: Winter has been average, slightly more rain especially in August. We had no bad storms or anything out of the ordinary. The ground is now drying out and the grass is shooting up. The forecast for the coming summer is an El Nino, which means a long dry summer. See:Walker Circulation, El Nino and La Nina

Autumn 2012

May 1: April has been a great month, loads of sun, and warm weather. April 30 was cool, but today is warm and sunny.

April 13: Autumn has started great, a little rain (one heavy day that filled our new pond), the rest has been sunshine, Easter was especially good.

Summer 2012

Record-breaking rainfall and all-time low sunshine hours made last summer one of the wettest and greyest in New Zealand history, new data shows. At least our grass kept growing for the Alpacas!!

Niwa review of Summer 2012

Figures released by Niwa this afternoon show much of the North Island received record amounts of cloud from December till March. it was the cloudiest summer ever for main centres Auckland, Tauranga, Hamilton and Wellington, the data shows. Auckland's 479 sunshine, hours were just 75 per cent of normal. Rainfall was also high in much of the North Island and upper South Island, with many areas recording triple normal summer levels.

Takaka and Nelson had their wettest summers ever, partly due to a downpour which flooded both areas in mid-December. Niwa said the 392mm of rain recorded on December 14 in Takaka was the largest single-day downpour in New Zealand this summer. The town's summer total of 1310 mm of rainfall was “astounding”, it said.

Meanwhile, it was a warm and dry summer over the west and south of the South Island. The highest temperature recorded was 31.7 degrees Celsius at Lake Pukaki on January 4, while the lowest temperature was -0.9°C at Ranfurly on January 3. Jan 25 2012: Not a lot to say about January, we have had a lot of mixed days, but my new grass seed is growing, we are now under high pressure giving us sunny days but cool nights. Now getting some decent outputs from the solar power.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10789976

Christmas and the following days were dry, but pre and New year were pissing down, Thursday the only dry day, more rain coming and so on for most of January. Southland are in drought conditions!!!

Summer 2011

Dec 19 2011: We had the sun then almost a week of wet stuff, I think we had too much even for the farmers, anyway back to normal, looking good for Xmas

Dec 7 2011: We have had about 26mm of rain this week, and now have 5 days of sun forecast. I am busy spraying the weeds with Pastureboss and a dye to mark were I have been. I now have pink hands and pink streak down my back.

Spring 2011

Nov. 30 2011: The farmers are starting to complain, we have very little rain, about 1.5 mm in the last week which dries up immediately, we are forecast rain, but past promises have failed to be realised.

Nov. 22 2011: More of the same, a little rain, a couple of windy days and sun, typical spring

Nov 9 2011: After Labour day we had a week of dry weather and then a week of mixed, it means the grass is growing prolifically so the farmers have nothing to grumble about (I do not believe that).

Oct 28 2011: The Met service got it wrong, labour weekend was warm and dry, with the best day so far this spring on Labour Day, we still have sun and temps. hovering around 20. The pool was used on Labour day, unfortunately some of the kids got mild sunburn.

A long, hot, dry summer is on the way thanks to a returning La Nina weather pattern, say forecasters. And even better, there is only a slim chance of a tropical cyclone heading our way over the summer months.

However, scientists say this year's La Nina is weaker than last year's so temperatures may not quite reach the highs of last summer. The Niwa National Climate Centre will today release its seasonal climate outlook for the next few months. Principal climate scientist James Renwick said the outlook showed that temperatures would be fairly typical for a La Nina pattern in most parts of the country during summer.

That means long, dry periods, particularly in the North Island, and no sustained run of rain.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10762178

Oct 18 2011: The first half of Oct. has seen more rainy days than not, but fortunately, most of it has been at night, at least the weather was dry and warm for the semi-final between the AB's and the Wallabies. The sun is now strong and sunblock is needed outside. The pool has reached 20 C and has stuck at that temperature, still not inviting. We have Labour day this week-end, the forecast is indifferent, we shall see.

La Nina returns

Summer is coming early to much of New Zealand thanks to the surprise return of a La Nina that warmed the country last festive season. The national climate centre NIWA has released its weather predictions up until Christmas time showing the North Island and the top of the South Island can expect more warmth and less rain than usual. Conditions will remain average in rest of the South Island.

Water temperature at beaches may also be above average, suggesting beach goers may be taking their first summer dip sooner than usual. “I guess it's good news for people looking forward to summer and the holidays,” NIWA Principal Scientist Dr James Renwick told NZN on Friday. He said meteorologists were shocked to see a return of the La Nina weather pattern that brought good weather to our shores last summer. “It faded away through the year and we thought that was it but were surprised to see it's now reforming,” Dr Renwick said.

The pattern brings with it a level of certainty that temperatures will be a bit higher for the rest of spring and early summer. It may be worrying news for farmers and growers who are already dealing with drier conditions than usual. But for those dreaming of clear, sunny days, the La Nina will be great news.

http://www.3news.co.nz/Summer-coming-early-to-NZ/tabid/1160/articleID/227827/Default.aspx

Sept 28 2011: last week was a bit indifferent with wind, rain then sun, this week is all sun about to change at the weekend. I now have our weather station live on the net. Its only useful for the locals, but its there Miranda weather station. The pool has made it to 17 degrees!

Winter Year 5 2011

Sept. 5 2011: lovely spring weather, the swimming pool has moved from 10 to 14 degrees, still dry suit temperatures though. Niwa has published its summary of the winter, “Of the six main centres in winter, Auckland was the warmest, Christchurch the coldest, Hamilton the wettest, Dunedin the driest and Tauranga the sunniest.”. See full article here: Niwa summary of winter 2011

Aug. 29 2011: The cold weather has gone and we have had a glorious week of sun and mild temperatures, the forecast is for mild damp weather.

Aug. 15 2011: Snow in Auckland, not the settling stuff just a flurry. The people in South Island were not impressed with Aucklanders getting excited by a bit of snow, but they missed the point, the last snow to fall on down-town Auckland was July 1939! The cold blast from Antarctica set to last a couple more days, they are suffering further south, Auckland had its coldest day on record,8.2 degrees max.!

Aug 11 2011: We have now moved to Miranda about 1 hour south of Auckland and within Thames weather region, though its not much different to Auckland. After the cold spell, we had a wet week then a dry sunny one, now its a bit of both. The weeds are growing prolifically though still in the equivalent of Feb in the northern hemisphere.

July 11 2011, we are in the middle of a huge low, the weather alternates between rain and wind squalls and calm sunny, several times per day, this has been going on for a week and looks like lasting another one, temps. though are mild. The ski resorts now have plenty of snow.

June 11 2011, Winter arrives and we can look forward to clean sunny days in Auckland

Icy Blasts?? June 11 2011

Weatherwatch analyst Phillip Duncan said the cold air would push the temperature down at least three degrees across the country.

“We've been getting highs of 19C to 21C in June but those are going to correct to normal June temperatures. It is more likely to be 16C-17C in Auckland and 14C-15C in Wellington.”

Summer Autumn Year 5 2011

July 9 2011: June was on the cards to be another record breaker in terms of tempreture, but the last week brought us back to average, July started OK, but the next week looks wet

June 1 2011: forgets yesterdays comment, May was 2.3 degrees warmer in NZ than average, breaking all existing records. It is expected to cool now for winter.

May 31 2011: we have been in Canada for 3 weeks, but Nothing unusual happened, localised flooding in some parts, but not Auckland: Canada - May 2011

May 11 2011: April was warmer and wetter than normal, May, so far a mixture, we have just had 4 days of warm sun (still in my shorts and sandals), but today is miserable.

April 11 2011: Unsettled first few days last week, since Friday under high pressure several days of warm dry weather: SEE:Storm Surges

March 28 2011: We had good weather until the 20th and then it was quite dismal, but we were in Vanuatu and could not care less, looks nice today.

March 9 2011: Last weekend was a right-off, rain nearly all the time, of course Monday was bright and sunny, overnight temps. dipped to 10, but things are back to normal now and we have a great weekend to look forward to.

March 3: Yes Feb. was the hottest month on record, really nice in the sea but a bit OTT humidity wise. We had some rain yesterday!

February did break the records

A February which produced heatwaves and tropical cyclones has been confirmed as the hottest on record for Auckland and Nelson. Despite a cooler final week of summer, all of the North Island was 1.2C hotter than its mean temperature in February, and Tauranga was 2.2C warmer than normal.

National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research climate scientist Georgina Griffiths said last month was a tale of two islands. While the North Island sweltered in dry, hot conditions, the South Island had record rainfall in usually arid Alexandra. Auckland had its warmest February, with an average afternoon temperature of 25.8C at the Leigh monitoring station. Nelson, with a reading of 24.2C, also had its hottest February in nearly 50 years of record-keeping. Barely a drop of rain fell in central North Island last month. Taupo and Ohakune had only 2mm of rainfall. In a usual February, Taupo would get 90mm of rain.

Auckland Regional Public Health issued a warning in mid-February on the dangers of excessive heat, and urged people to keep an eye on the most vulnerable - elderly, young people, and those with medical conditions.

Niwa predicted a mild autumn in all parts of the country as the warmer La Nina temperatures faded before winter.

MERCURY RISING * All of North Island 1.2C warmer than usual. * Tauranga - mean temperature of 21.7C (98-year record). * Auckland's mean maximum temperature 25.8C. * Heatwave from Feb 2 to 7. * Taupo, Ohakune - 2mm of rain (3 per cent of usual rainfall). * Soil moisture deficits in Wairarapa, Taranaki, Manawatu and Kapiti Coast. * Highest peak temperatures on record in Timaru (41.3C), Gisborne (36.2C) and Te Puke (31.2C).

NZ Herald:http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10709534

Feb 18: Great week and the forecast the weekend is sun, sun, sun

NZ Herald Feb 18 2011: The weekend will be hot in the north too but minus the crippling humidity that has become iconic of the 2010/11 summer. Highs across New Zealand will be in the mid 20s and lows between the low double digits and mid-teens … in other words, comfortable. It's this slight drop in overnight lows that makes March one of the most popular months of the year weatherwise.

So when is the rain coming back? Well we could be entering another round of drought-like weather. The highs (which are rain blockers) are starting to steadily stream in from the Southern Ocean, south of Australia and up into the Tasman Sea. They are blocking the fronts from the west and are also helping direct tropical lows away from us … which is probably a good thing considering we're still picking a cyclone next week and since that story was written the models have shifted its path further south, towards NZ. Don't worry, we're not in for a direct hit but this potential cyclone does look severe, possibly category 4, but it will pass near us - not over us. Based on today's weather models I'd say we won't get any severe weather from it, but to be honest these lows can sometimes be a bit like herding cats, so definitely one to watch.

Feb 15 NZ Herald

Hundred-year-old records are tumbling as unrelenting heat sets New Zealand on course for its hottest February ever. Most regions are between 2C and 3C hotter than normal as the strongest La Nina weather pattern in 30 years drives warm air and heavy humidity over the North Island.

“We are only halfway, so it could yet change. But for the first two weeks we've run at our hottest ever,” said climate scientist Georgina Griffiths, of the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research. “And February is usually our hottest month. “Even if we got extremely cold for the rest of the month, it's not going to be a normal February.” http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10706290

Feb 14 2011: Just come back from a great weekend at Kawhia and Raglan, we were forecast dreary weather, but no, nearly constant sun and still sunny back in Auckland

SEE:Kawhia – A step back in time

Feb 10 2011: The wind has changed to the SW, temps. down to 23 during the day and crystal clear skies, you can see for miles.

Feb 7 2011 NZ Herald:

Scorching conditions which caused an Australian heatwave have crossed the Ditch, breaking temperature records in the South Island. After Australians sweltered in their beds on Saturday night - Sydney recorded 32.2C at midnight - New Zealanders experienced stiflingly muggy weather in the North Island and crisp, hot conditions in Canterbury and Central Otago. In Timaru, MetService temperature gauges hit 40.3C about 3.30pm yesterday - the hottest recorded in the city. Its previous highest reading was 39.7C in February 1973. Emergency services attended several callouts for elderly people fainting in the heat. Christchurch, Ashburton, Alexandra and Oamaru also had blistering-hot days, all recording 36C. Forecasters reported that the temperature readings were limited to the area around weather stations, so downtown Christchurch would have felt more like 40C. Many North Island cities became uncomfortably muggy, with Wellington and Auckland recording almost 100 per cent humidity. Low fog yesterday meant 25 flights were delayed or cancelled at Wellington Airport.

Storm Names (NZ Herald Feb 7 2011)

Storm Names

A troublesome child called Zaka could soon be at your doorstep. The Arabic name, meaning intelligent or honest, is next on a list of cyclone titles for the South Pacific. A storm must pass a threshold to earn a name. If winds reach gale force within the core of a cyclone in the Pacific, the resulting storm will be christened. The names are always short, and always easy to pronounce, because the naming process was introduced for ease of identification. The use of snappy titles is quicker and more memorable than the original method of describing storms by their latitude and longitude.

The World Meteorological Organisation manages lists of names for 10 areas across the globe. Most run in alphabetical order, and the names come from the region in which the weather disturbances form. The letters Q and X are often skipped because of the lack of names beginning with that character. Naming storms was not always so orderly. The first titles for cyclones were more likely to be based on stormy characters. At the end of the 19th century, Australian meteorologist Clement Wragge named cyclones after politicians whom he disliked. He then gave the storms unflattering descriptions, such as wandering aimlessly, or frequently changing its mind.

MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said that World War II bomber crews flying between Micronesia and Japan informally used the names of girlfriends and wives for the tropical cyclones which they encountered. In other instances, storms near the Spanish-speaking islands in the Mediterranean were originally named after saints, and some cyclones were named after ships they inflicted damage on. Official naming gradually became more organised in 1945, and in 1964 the Australian and South Pacific regions started giving women's names to the storms. In 1974-75, men's names were included too. While the benefits of naming cyclones are many - it heightens public awareness, improving community preparedness - the process has some critics. Some have called for an end to the humanising of cyclones, saying it is insensitive to have brutal, sometimes fatal forces with playful names like Fifi or lyrical names like Leila or Giselle.

Particularly harmful or deadly cyclones have had their names retired. For reasons of sensitivity to storm victims, the Gulf of Mexico authorities will never name another hurricane Katrina. Similarly, New Zealand will never experience another Cyclone Bola. After Bola tore through the North and South Islands in March 1988, killing three, the name was retired. If the next name in line is also the name of a public figure in the news, it will not be used. So don't expect a Cyclone Winston, for example, to roll through New Zealand during this year's general election.

This year's cyclone lists

The Fiji list this season started with Vania, and was followed by Wilma, Yasi, and Zaka. The next list is: Atu, Bune, Cyril, Daphne, Evan, Freda, Garry, Heley, Ian, June, Kofi, Lusi, Mike, Nute, Odile, Pam, Reuben, Solo, Tuni, Ula, Victor, Winston, Yalo, and then Zena.

The Australian list this season started with Tasha, and was followed by Vince, then Zelia. Their next alphabet is: Anthony, Bianca, Carlos, Dianne, Errol, Fina, Grant, Heidi, Iggy, Jasmine, Koji, Lua, Mitchell, Narelle, Oswald, Peta, Rusty, Sandra, Tim, Victoria, and Zane.

NZ Herald: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10704260

Feb 1 2011: We were away for the Anniversary weekend SEE:Cooks, Hot water and Hahei Beaches, left in blazing sunshine on Thurs., Fri started to get darker as ex cyclone Wilma approached. By the evening we had heavy rain and wind which overnight dropped 300mm. By Sat morning, it was clearing and we were on the beach in the afternoon. Sunday was brilliant, with Mon. cooler for the journey back home. Wilma managed to flood a few roads and cause slips blocking some more, but nothing serious.

Bucklands Beach Swim

Jan 26 2011. Weather generally been good in Jan except for last weekend. The left over from a cyclone hit North Island and did a bit of wind damage, also Spring tide along with low pressure and a Northerly wind caused localised flooding along the sea front, so the most expensive houses along the Parade on Bucklands Beach got a bit damp, (never buy on a flat seafront or flood plain). We have Auckland anniversary weekend coming up and forecast not too good.

La Nina

NZ Herald Jan 15 2011 http://www.nzherald.co.nz/weather/news/article.cfm?c_id=10&objectid=10699805

In the days after Christmas, the 100-year-old Salisbury Swing Bridge in Golden Bay was torn from its wire moorings and washed away in the region's worst flooding in modern history. Campsites in Tasman were evacuated and homes cut off. The Aorere River, which can usually be forded by hikers, turned into a mucky torrent, flowing at 3500 cubic metres a second.

The fast-moving downpour gave New Zealand a glimpse into a climate phenomenon which has left its mark on several continents. Devastating floods this year in Australia, the Philippines and Sri Lanka and last year in South China and Pakistan are all the handiwork of “the girl” - La Nina, the female relative of El Nino.

During El Nino, warm water sloshes west to east across the Pacific. During La Nina, it occurs in the opposite direction. The weather cycles take Spanish names because the first people to notice the shifting temperatures of the Pacific were Peruvian fisherman. When their anchovy stocks plummeted in the 1700s, it was blamed on a strange, warm current in the Eastern Pacific. Those warm waters produce greater deluges in South America and a drop in the fish catch. The event was named El Nino, “the Christ child”, because it arrived at Christmas.

These two disturbances in the tropical Pacific are now known to have far wider effects than hurting the fishing trade. They are second only to the four seasons in influencing global weather. La Nina was the catalyst for Australia's monsoon rains this week, which quenched its drought-stricken eastern region and flooded some of its cities. It is not known what prompts the pendulum swing between El Nino and La Nina, but it is believed to be caused by complex interactions of ocean and atmosphere movements. La Nina has the opposite effect to El Nino, by cooling the Eastern Pacific. That cooler water forms a “cold tongue” across the equator, and shoves warmer waters around Australia. The warm currents reach New Zealand too, bringing warmer weather and more rain, but with less impact than in Australia. Yet though the North Island gets above-average rainfall and more storms, the South Island dries out.

We are more familiar with El Nino, because the second half of the 20th century was dominated by El Nino patterns. But La Nina cycles, which come at intervals of several years to a decade, have left an imprint in Australia and New Zealand too. Two major La Nina cycles stand out in Australasian history. In 1973-74 (similarly to 2011) the Brisbane River broke its banks. Wild weather in Queensland flooded 6700 homes and nearly sank a 70,000-tonne oil tanker. In 1988-89, grass fires tore through a tinder-dry Central Otago during a La Nina event. It was also the warmest year in New Zealand's history, and caused a severe drought in the South Island.

In the words of the MetService weather ambassador, Bob McDavitt, “No two La Nina events really follow each other exactly”. While La Nina is known to pelt the North Island with rain, the last event in 2006-2007 pushed the Waikato into drought, which eventually led New Zealand's economy into recession. In 2011, the effects of the “the girl” may overshadow all of those before it. The president of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, Neville Nicholls, said this week: “The Queensland floods are caused by what is one of the strongest - if not the strongest - La Nina events since our records began in the late 19th century”.

The most reliable of those La Nina records is the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), which measures the atmospheric pressure difference between Darwin and Tahiti. The index was inspired by “gentleman scientist” and the director-general of British observatories in India, Gilbert Walker. Walker aimed to predict India's monsoons after a failure in 1899 caused widespread famine. He also had a personal interest - it is believed he traded in tea futures, the success of which was closely tied to rainfall in India. His observation that the pressures at Tahiti and Darwin see-sawed, weakening and strengthening simultaneously, was the basis for the SOI.

One hundred and 10 years later, in December, meteorologists using the Walker-inspired index were astonished at what they saw. A reading of 2.8 was the highest ever for that month since records began in the 1850s. The further away from zero the reading, the more abnormal it is. Anything above two, positive or negative, is considered extreme. The reading foreshadowed events which were to strike Australia the hardest. La Nina and monsoon rains have combined to devastate northern and eastern Australia, claiming at least 16 lives. New Zealand has been spared from the downpours by its location in the Pacific.

Describing the effect of La Nina, climate scientist James Renwick says: “It is like dropping a rock in a pool - you get waves radiating out. The tropical part of the Pacific is where the rock - La Nina - is dropped. And New Zealand feels the ripple that pans out from that.” This means La Nina's effects are not as acute by the time they cross the Tasman Sea. The greatest threat La Nina poses to New Zealand are the tropical cyclones which breed in its warmer water. Trade winds that accompany La Nina push tropical cyclones westward. At time of writing, three cyclones were sitting north of New Zealand. So far this summer, New Zealand's experience of La Nina has been heavy rainfall in December and above average temperatures. But La Nina is now at her peak. Weather scientist Dr Jim Salinger says our real taste of the cycle could arrive this week. Tropical Cyclone Vania is currently Category Three, and has flooded Fiji and battered Vanuatu. “We shouldn't hold our breath. It looks like early next week the tropical cyclone should track near New Zealand, which will be our first significant event,” Dr Salinger says. A common path for a tropical cyclone is to pass close to the North Island's east coast.

“It may not happen,” says Dr Salinger. “But this is La Nina for New Zealand. More rain, more warmth, and, of course, tropical cyclones.”

Jan 12 2011, NIWA has changed its mind and the forecast for the summer is now average rain and warm. Jan up 'til now has been hot and sunny, turning out a normal summer.

Jan 2011, starts hot and muggy, Australian type rain threatened, but did not materialize, although South island copped a lot of rain so hydro lakes are nice and full.

Year 4 2010

Jan 12 2010- North Island and East South Island have been basking in sunshine since Christmas and so the drought warnings are out around Gizzy, Napier, Central Otago and Canterbury . Fiordland have had 135% of normal rainfall (an awful lot), so much that the hydro lakes are overflowing, and water is being released over the sluices.

Jan was a really nice month in Auckland and Northland, cold in the South Island.

February, was a dry sunny month, only 5mm of rain for the entire month. We were in South Island for most of Feb and March. See: Five week trip to South Island (Feb/March 2010)

Early April has been typical (since we came here) dry and sunny, Easter was great weather even though met service was forecasting a wet Sunday and Monday. See: The Far North and the Cape (April 2010)

Mid April now, mixed sunshine and showers, temps around 20 down to 12 at night, still no heavy rain for the farmers.

Into May (5th) (November in the north hemisphere), April finished off nicely, trips out with the hood down, a couple of showery days daytime temps 18 to 20, nighttime down to 10 last night. Rain still needed badly for the farmers, Heat pump on in the mornings.

May 11 and the first real rains for the year are promised over the next few days. A low pressure is above us and it is blustery outside. I am in hospital waiting for an op. today so the weather is the least of my concerns.

May 19, the heavy rains forecast, missed Auckland, today sunny and 19 degrees.

May 20 and 21 heavy rain arrives with strong winds

Late May, early June (think December in northern hemisphere) rainy days and sunny days intermixed, gives ideal conditions for grass and weeds to grow prolifically.

Sorry no weather updates, we are stuck in the UK due to family reasons, back early Sept. (hope the house is OK, under the care of a 21 year old). Really looking forward to getting home.

Sept 7. OK now back in Auckland, landed at 4.30 a.m. to 12 degrees, very grateful as my sweatshirt was packed. The forecast is a mixture of sunny and showery days. Temperatures between 18 and 12 (night)

La Nina

Apparently, winter has been mild and wet. The reason being that we are in a La Nina, which tends to bring in more rain but !!!

The problem with discussing La Nina and El Nino is that it's not a weather forecast. It's a climate prediction. So while we expect more lows, perhaps bringing more rain to eastern parts of the North Island, it's pretty hard to say summer will be a wetter one, or your January holiday isn't going to be so good. One big high at the right time could see dry weather for several weeks in the slower moving summer months.

It's about overall statistics based on previous events. New Zealand, being the narrow mountainous nation that it is, sometimes completely bucks the trends. We were in La Nina a couple years ago that saw widespread droughts from Northland to Southland. It's clear to see why it's hard to forecast accurately long range for New Zealand when you see just how tiny we are and how large highs and lows are - often several times the size of our country.

Our location in the roaring 40s also throws a spanner in the works.

Sigh….who would be a forecaster here?! Philip Duncan NZ Herald

Huge Storm Heading for NZ

Wed 15th Sept. 2010 One of the largest storms on the planet is scheduled to hit New Zealand tomorrow bringing gales, heavy rain and snow to much of the country.

The storm, the size of Australia, is expected hit tomorrow afternoon bringing winds strong enough to bring down trees, power lines and even damage poorly built roofs/barns in some areas, a spokesman for Weatherwatch.co.nz said.

MetService spokesman Peter Kreft said the storm would create conditions normally only seen in the Southern Ocean.

“For a few days, New Zealand will be well and truly in the roaring 40s,” Mr Kreft said.

Sept. 17 & 18. A storm larger than Australia tracked through the Southern Ocean, although the centre was 2500 Km south of Auckland we still got a gale lashing. Our roof tiles seem intact, but the garden brolly is now a little shorter.

Now Sept 21 and its still here

Dry Spring

Sept. 30 Storm has long gone and now truly in spring. We have had some glorious sunny days (now is the time to start using sunblock), odd showery one and the forecast is for sun for the next few days.

Niwa is forecasting a warmer drier, less windy spring. We shall see!

Sept continued with more rain than usual and continued into Oct. Now Oct. 26 and we have just had Labour week end, sun all through and much more to come, still chilly at night though.

October 2010, compensated for the wet winter with the driest Oct. on record and plenty of sun. Its now November 7, no real rain with at least 8 more sunny dry days forecast. The farmers are complaining!

November 21 and we had some real rain overnight, but none forecast for the next week. November has been sunny with little wind apart from today, Southwester blowing, battering the plants.

December 2 2010, November was one of the driest and warmest for the North Island on record, drought is a real possibility. Australia got all the rain!

Wet Summer?

Dec 7 NZ Herald The North Island is in for the wettest summer in 21 years - ending the recent dry spell which broke numerous heat records. Weather Watch chief analyst Philip Duncan said the La Nina weather pattern which New Zealand was experiencing at the moment would bring heavy rain to the upper North Island. http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10692585 We shall see, just about the time we have visitors from the UK. Also read http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10692882

Tues. Dec. 14 and its raining, nice gentle stuff, so nice to see, I even sat out under the eves with a cup of tea watching the all the garden plants dripping with water. Tues. Dec 21, its rained for a week, well almost, sun out today and is hot hot hot and humid, weather unsettled for next week!!!

Year 3 2009

Its now March and summer has officially finished, but the weather does know this. Jan. was excellent, but we had some rain in mid Feb., much to the relief of the farmers. The temps are about 19 during the day and 12 at night, but the sun is still very strong and still burns. March was glorious, hardly any rain and plenty of sun. April has started great. we are under a double high of 1034 Mpascals. We did a road trip for 6 days and had fantastic weather see Motorcycle Diaries - Not! April is near its end and Autumn weather has hit, a mixture of showers and sun, Temps. still in low 20's.

May 9 after fairly good Autumn weather, we have been hit with a storm overnight, no damage but windy and cold Max 14 today dropping to 8 tonight.

We have been short changed

Winter usually starts after the shortest day (June 21), but this year, it started early May and has continued. We are getting cold with odd nights down to 4 and only rising to 12 during the day. This is the time that Aucklanders have to remember its not sub tropical all the year round and how badly a lot of homes are insulated. Its bad when you have to put a jumper on to go in home, as its warmer outside. We are comfortable with the heat pumps and electric blankets though.

We are definitely having a bad winter and its only mid June, its either sunny and cold, 2 at night rising to 13 or warm and wet. We are in an El Nino year

Well July was still colder than normal, but no extremes. August (think February) has made up for the earlier months, its been fairly dry and lots of sun with warm temperatures, this week (Aug 28)was forecast storms etc; yes it rained heavily over night but I have been painting the outside of the house and today its 20 and a lot warmer in the sun, working in a tee shirt. Spring is here well and truly, Terri is busy planting out vegetables and flowers. I spoke too early, second half of September has been very wet, now mid Oct and things are getting back to normal. Oct was the coldest for NZ since 1946, except Auckland and North of us!

It is now 3 days before Christmas and a blocking high has formed over North Island, meaning we have at least a week of settled weather, Xmas day is sunny and only sea breezes. See A Typical New Zealand Christmas (2009 and 2010)

Year 2 2008

We have moved on to July 11th, Summer went from December to past April, thats two excellent summers we have had here. The rains came in late June and the lakes are filling up. Cold storms have blown in from the Antartic and the Temp. fell to 0 degrees in Auckland one night, almost unheard of but at least the days were bright sunshine and we got out on our new boat. The cold has now passed the winds have moved to the north bringing more showers with a bit of sun. The overnight Temp. went from 0 to 12 in one day and Kaikora went from minus temps. one night to 21 the next night, Strange!

July Continued We have just finished the worst month for rain in years, it rained for 27 of July days, we had three tropical storms in 10 days, causing flooding, slips and power outages. Off course most people were not affected apart from the constant rain, anyway those hydro lakes are filling up nicely, mother nature balances things out. Things are staring to look better for August. Autumn 08 was typical with the westerly winds and normal temps and rainfall, not at all bad, summer kicked in early though.

Summary of year 1 2007

I have put the equivalent UK months in brackets and temps are Day / Night

November (May). Cool and sunny, this is late spring, the sun index is very high and tenps. are 19 / 13

December (June). Warm and sunny, but winds from the south west (Antarctica) sun index extreme ……21 / 14

January (July). Hot and sunny, the winds have dropped, just an occasional shower, mainly at night. Sun index extreme….. 23 / 17

February (August) Hot and sunny, grass going brown, sun index extreme …..23 / 16, but a lot of days it was over 25

March (September) Warm to hot, very little rain except the 29th when the aftermath of a cyclone hits the north island, it poured all day, the car was in for service and I had to use the bike for 3 different errands. Sun index very high…22 / 16

April (October) Warm and sunny up to the 12th temps 22 / 15, but now cooling fast, cold fronts have brought snow to 300 metres in the south island, temperature at 19 here on the 13th. Sun returned every day with no rain 'til 28th, Sun index high….21 / 14

May (November) Rain on the first, since had two weeks of sun and 20 during the day. We are still collecting our out door tomatoes. Now at the end of the month, still OK in tee shirt during day, but definetly a fleece in the evening. It has been a sunny month with most of the rain at night Figures for the month Max 23 Min 5 rain 23mm

June (December) Definetly cooler, a fleece is now required most of the day, although Kiwis still out in shorts. Rain still mostly at night, days generally O.K. The second half of June brought cold southerly's and bright sunshine, Temps. varied from 15 to 3 at night, then for the last week the rain came with the northern winds and temps. climbed to 17 / 10.

July (January). The first half of the month has been a mixture of cold sunny (13 / 4 ) days and warmer wetter ones. July 10th brought a near gale to Auckland with driving rain, a few trees down. Northland had it much worse with 250mm of rain in a day and floods. 21 / 1

August (Febuary) The weather is getting warmer, not a bad month, the wind is picking up for the sailing 19 / 4

I have not edited this for a while, it is now late Feb. 08 and NZ is in La Nina with drought conditions across much of the country, although we have no restrictions at present in Auckland. There is a small danger of electricity cuts in winter due to the lakes in South Island being low (hydro-electric).

See Also: New Zealand Climate

Auckland Met Service

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